Tag Archives: Beating Trump

151. Trump: I Did It My Way

2 Mar

If you have had much contact with teenagers, you notice that the brighter ones often learn a little about something and think they are now experts. They will explain how you are wrong and they are correct. But I have found that most of the time the older wise person has the best answer. Often, the teenager will not consider all of the possible results of a new approach.

I want to talk mostly about Trump, but I will start with a Democrat issue. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) is an intelligent and dedicated young person who is promoting the “Green New Deal.” (I totally agree with her “dreams”). I received an email asking if I believe in Climate Change, and would I endorse the Green New Deal. I hesitated because it became clear that this new deal covered much more than Climate Change. The email was misleading; there should have been an option for agreeing with most of it. I did not endorse it because some of the deal included ideas that were so far left that some voters would be turned off. Since beating Trump is paramount, the deal should state good progressive goals, but not include specific features that go too far. AOC should have discussed this deal with older more experienced politicians.  Nancy Pelosi is hesitating to endorse the Green New Deal. Pelosi is a well-proven political genius and AOC should consult with her, along with others.

There are many examples of Trump errors due to his inexperience. In negotiating a treaty Trump’s procedure is to have secret one-on-one meetings with the foreign leader. This is very different from the established USA method of interaction. traditionally, the Secretary of State and foreign equivalent work out the details and then the leaders get together for finalizing. The current meeting with Kim Jong-un of N. Korea illustrates the advantage of the usual method. Trump’s trip to the Vietnam summit was a waste of time since there was no deal. And Trump is left with a serious failure. It only enhanced the status of Kim.  A complex deal requires a lot of negotiating time and should be left to experienced experts. Furthermore, the secret meetings of our President with foreign leaders leads to distrust  here in the USA and in other countries that would be affected. The secrecy makes one suspicious of illicit private deals.

Another good example of doing it his way, is in international trade deals. Traditionally, trade deals result from the combined efforts of many USA experts and representatives from relevant foreign countries. Trump does not have the capacity to predict all of the effects of a complicated deal. That is a major reason why the traditional method is better. Trump’s bad plans have produced job layoffs, closing of companies, and loss of USA leadership. China and other countries will be able to takeover more leadership roles in trade that have belonged to the USA for many years.

Briefly, here are some other areas where traditional methods employing many experts would have led to better results: organizing military troop deployments, setting up border regulations and procedures, filling of various staff and judicial positions, establishing policies based on the conclusions of our intelligence agencies,  and developing the best possible government budget that benefits the USA citizens (not just the wealthy few).

The traditional methods of USA gov were developed based upon decades of experience and trial-and-error. Sometimes there is justification for developing a new method, particularly when new technology is relevant. But in most cases, methods based on many years of experience will work best. Trump is using methods that were tried and had failed, 50 or a 100 years ago. Please see my many “BasicCauses” blogs for additional discussions of these issues.

 

 

 

 

145. How to Evaluate Democrat Candidates

13 Feb

With so many Democrats running for the presidency, it is important to develop a good system, which leads to your actual vote.

I want to start by saying that the details of specific proposals should not be a major factor in your choice. We must look at more general statements of goals and ignore the details because after the election, the hard work of developing detailed plans will begin. After the election all the specific plans will be over-ridden by various research findings, hearings, and committee work. (Please see my blog no. 133 for more info.)

Here are the factors that I think are most relevant, starting with most important.

First, the candidate should have a long history of promoting Democrat values, such as supporting the non-rich, fighting climate change, higher taxes for the very rich, support for allies and NATO, sincere concern for election integrity, and willing to govern with maximum possible transparency.

Second, the candidate must be physically healthy and strong. An ideal age is 50 to 65 to ensure these qualities, which should last for eight years. There could be an exception for people that are a little older than 65, but are in great health.

Third, the candidate should have traits that people like and will generate votes. A long history of winning elections should be considered. Any significant negative could play a role, but we must be careful to accurately judge the effects of a negative factor.

Fourth, although a Dem. President will have really good consultants and staff, to do a really great job the chosen President must be highly intelligent, adaptive, open to various opinions, and respectful of traditional gov workers.

I think that any candidate that scores highly on all four factors would do a great job for our country. I could mention one more often discussed idea, which is to select a person that is most likely to beat Trump, regardless of other factors. Well, there is some merit to this. Imagine how we will feel, if we chose a fantastic candidate, and then Trump wins another term !!  Unfortunately, we can only speculate about how to deal with this concern.